NFL Week 3 Predictions/Nerd Predictions

In Week 2 I picked 11 winners, 10 correctly against the spread and identified 9 games against the O/U.  I actually forgot to pick the Saints game from last week but I'll just give myself credit for getting everything right.  

Okay then, here's who is going to win all the week 3 games.  All bets down, here we go.

TEAM COVERING THE SPREAD LOOKS LIKE THIS

TITANS @ Jets (-3) Over 37

The Titans' desperation carries them over the Jets, who still have a rookie QB.

Browns @ RAVENS (-13)  under 38.5

I don't know where to find information on past spreads but I bet the Browns haven't covered in 8 games, 13 points is tempting but I'd need about 17.

Giants (-7) @ BUCCS over 44

I think the Buccs desperation at 0-2 will keep the game close but the Giants will end up winning this one.

Jags @ TEXANS (-3.5) Under 46.5

Texans looked good last week.  I'm very confident they will cover this 3.5

49ERS @ Vikings (-7) over 40.5

We'll be hearing a lot about the 9ers after they beat the Vikings this week.  Actually, analysts will probably talk more about how Brett Favre is hurt (I think the 9ers are going to knock him out).

Falcons @ PATRIOTS (-4) over 44

The only reason I don't want to pick against the Patriots in consecutive weeks is because they are the Patriots.  I think this will be a very good game but the Pats will win it late.  

Redskins (-6.5) @ LIONS under 38.5 

Lions win for the first time since the mid '80's.  Browns will officially be the worst team in the NFL. 

PACKERS (-6.5) @ Rams under 41

Packers roll after losing to the Bungy's, besides St. Louis is terrible.  

BEARS (-2.5) @ Seahawks over 37

Assuming Hasselbeck is out, I like Cutler to continue to improve with the Bears.

SAINTS (-5.5) @ Bills over 51.5

I'm just going to keep taking the Saints to cover and the over until it stops working.

STEELERS (-4) @ Bengals over 37

This could be a huge statement win for the Bengals.  I do like the Steelers to win because I think they'll score a defensive TD, even without Troy P.  

BRONCOS even @ Raiders under 35.5

J. Russell made 1 good throw last week and it was enough to win the game for the Raiders.  He may need to do more than that against the broncos.  Broncos win.

DOLPHINS @ Chargers (-6) over 43

I'm close to picking the Dolphins after almost defeating the Colts but I think they'll fall just short again.  Chargers win.  

Colts @ CARDS (-2) over 47.5

Boy, the NFL sure can pick 'em.  For me, this is the most intriguing game of the week, a great AFC team against the NFC Super Bowl Representative from last season, it happens to be the Sunday night game.  It also pits two great QB's against each other, it should be a great game to watch.  I have the Cards winning this one by 3.  

Panthers @ COWBOYS (-9) under 46

I don't really care about this game.  I've seen the cowboys but not the Panthers.  I'm taking the cowboys to cover at home.

Here is who I think will win our fantasy football match ups this week.  I'd like to state that I'm assuming each team will be starting who they currently have in their starting lineups.  Also, I'm not going to analyze the kicker or Defense positions because I've already wasted enough time on this for the 3 people who will actually look at it.  

Team-an vs Diagnosis Ronalds team

I give Team-an an edge on QB... unless Hasselbeck plays, then it would go to Ronald (Jon Piening).  I also give the WR edge to Ronald because Cribbs is going to get mad Return "pointage" this week.  I also think Anquan Boldin will be involved in a shootout so he should produce a lot of points.  I also give Ron a slight RB edge.  Team-an will gain a lot at the W/R position because Fred Jackson doesn't split carries.  I think the TE position will be a wash.  

I think Team-an pulls out a close one if Hasselbeck can't go.

Velvet Merey vs. Walk the Dinosaur (what does that mean?)

A.Jay gets the QB edge because Brett Favre will be busy pulling out dingleberries to play football.  

Craig (Greg) has a WR advantage because Fitzy will be in that aforementioned shootout.  

Craig (stukenbaaak) has an edge at RB because I think the Titans will contain Thomas Jones better than the Jets Chris Johnson.

A.Jay has a TE advantage and Craig has a real nice W/R advantage.

Craig (stook) wins easily.  

Grape Smugglers vs. Scrap Iron

If you look at the projected points Grape Smugglers is supposed to get the least amount of points in the league this week while Jake is supposed to get the most points.  I'm not gonna waste my time breaking it down.

Jake wins.  

Peter North Stars vs. Who's Gonna Be 2nd

Dauber has the name edge because it's the most clever in the league.

Unfortunately Dauber has an injured QB so Travis has a sizable advantage there

I really like Daub's WR's, three pretty good picks there considering this league starts 42 WR's a week.  Interesting RB matchup because it's between four guys who don't split a lot of carries.  I think the RB numbers will be pretty even.  

I'm giving Al a slight TE lead because I think the Vikings will have to throw more because they are going to lose.  

Travis has a better W/R player in Felix Jones, who will get the all-important return yards points.  

Travis wins by 10

Tico's Club vs. NFL Guru

Tentatively giving Mitch the QB advantage.  If Tom Brady doesn't put up Tom Brady numbers (which he hasn't yet this year) This could easily go the other way.

I think the RB will be a wash.  I like Kevin Smith and Ray Rice to each get a lot more than they are projected this week.  

I like Trent to gain on the WR position.  I wouldn't be surprised to see Trent Score at least 70 points one week off Randy Moss and Andre Johnson alone.  How did you get both of those guys?

Mitch has Tony Gonzalez so he wins TE.

I like Percy Harvin this week because, like I said, the Vikings will be down and Brett Favre (before he gets injured this week) can dump off short passes to Percy and let him run for big yardage.  

I have Trent winning this one.

'96 Bulls vs Carson Chad Cedric

Danny has the QB advantage.  I think the Bengals will be in a shootout this weekend, so I like Carson to score more than 11.  

Justin will have the WR advantage this week partly because Steve Smith will need a big game if they want to beat the Cowboys.  I also don't know if Houshmandzadeh is playing this weekend.  I wonder where that little bar guy is...

I give Danny the RB advantage because I like Clinton Portis against the Lions this weekend.  

Danny also wins at TE because Drew Brees is throwing to his tight end.  

W/R position will be  a wash.

Dan is the Winner and he turns 21.  

Madison Hedgecocks vs. Ochenta Y Cinco

I give myself, Hammer, the QB advantage because Drew Brees is a hunk and Eli is also better than Jamarcus.  

I, Hamma lamma ding dong, will also take the WR advantage because of the shootout in Cincinnati.  Santonio was targeted 15 times in week 2, there were only a handful of other receivers who were targeted more.  

Andrew has the RB edge because Forte is due and Ronnie Brown should have another big week.

I have a TE advantage because it's Dallas Clark for crying out loud.  

Andrew will have a W/R edge because Jamarcus can't pass so Oak town needs big games from its running backs

I think I'll win

I hope you enjoy this.  I sure did love the 3 hours it took to write it.  

NFL Week 2 prediction

Here are my week 2 predictions, playas.

Team covering spread is in Caps

I'm gonna also try to predict the O/U.  (I can't really factor in weather this early in the week)

Texans @ TITANS (-6.5) Under 40.5

The Titans D looked pretty sweet in week 1 and the Texans looked kinda terrible, I actually thought they would have looked better but... Not a good week for the Texans running game, which was non-existent in week 1, to get off the "ground."  What a shitty pun.

Patriots (-5) @ JETS Under 47

I could end up looking really stupid here but I am, so that wouldn't be all bad.  Tom Brady didn't appear to be all the way back and he'll be on the road here, so the crowd won't be so friendly.  Sanchez only has 1 game experience but his ground game produced a lot in week one so I'm taking the jets to win this.

BENGALS @ Packers (-9) under 42.5

I didn't think the Bengals looked that bad in week 1 to warrant being  a 9 point dog.  The Pack didn't look that great either, to be honest.  Packers win, but not by 9.

Vikings (-9.5) @ LIONS under 47

I was mildly impressed w/ Stafford.  I think Brett Favre is on his way to having an embarrassing year, starting w/ week 2.  Vikings win bc of AP but they're not winning by 10.

Panthers @ FALCONS (-6) over 43

The Panthers disappointed in Week 1 and Matt Ryan looked pretty tough.  I like them at home.

RAMS @ Redskins (-10) Under 37

Rams were scoreless in in Week 1.  Redskins also lost to a Giants team who also didn't look that good.  Redskins win but not by 11.

CARDINALS @ Jags (-3) over 42.5

Warner didn't really get Boldin, Fitzy and Breaston as involved as expected in week 1.  I think they remedy this against the Jags on the road, and win

RAIDERS @ Chiefs (-3) over 39

Raiders played pretty well against the Chargers (or the chargers underperformed) and I think they defeat the Chiefs on the road.  Could the raiders be a surprise in the AFC west?  They'll probably have to beat the chargers when they meet in San Diego.

SEAHAWKS @ 49ers (-1.5) over 39.5

Interesting week 2 matchup in the NFC West.  The winner will be the only undefeated team left in the Division.  I think Hasselbeck avoids the picks in week 2 and Seahawks win on the road.

Buccs @ BILLS (-4.5) under 42

I really liked the play of the Bills secondary against the Pats.  I think they shut down the Buccs and the Bills get the W.

Browns @ BRONCOS (-3) under 37.5

Free money.  Take the Broncos.

STEELERS (-3) @ Bears over 37.5

I like the steelers big in this one.  I'd find an adjusted line of like -10 to bet on.  If I was a gambling man but I'm not.  

RAVENS @ Chargers (-3.5) over 40.5

The ravens are too good defensively to not beat a team who should have lost to the Raiders.  Ravens win on the road.

Giants @ COWBOYS (-3) over 44

Didn't think the giants looked like they were ready to go back to the Super Bowl.  Cowboys win this one.  Marion the Barbarian.

COLTS (-3) @ Dolphins under 42

I picked the dolphins in week 1 and they embarrassed me.  They didn't look good at all.  The colts still have peyton Manning, right?  Yeah, I like them.  

This is why we love the NFL.  If you're interested.

Out of the 16 games I was only able to pick 10 teams to win correctly.  Picking against the spread I also rightly selected 10 teams.  Hopefully, in a few more weeks I will have these numbers at 12.  

I'd like to briefly state something I've learned from week 1 about each team.

Titans- Kenny Britt may become a steal in FF leagues

Steelers- This is the year where Santonio will begin to out produce Ketchup Ward.

Dolphins- The Falcons are good but it looks like the Dolphins will be watching the playoffs on tv like the rest of us this year.

Falcons- Matt Ryan doesn't show signs of a sophomore slump.  

Chiefs- Didn't look as terrible as I was expecting but a fumble recovery in the endzone always helps.

Ravens- Joe Flacco also doesn't believe in the sophomore slump

Eagles- Looked very impressive in a game where the spread was 1 point.  Are we going to see Mike Vick now that Donovan is hurt?

Carolina- Last year's sweet rushing attack was absent in week 1 this year.  That tends to happen when you give up 28 points in the second and need to pass for the rest of the game.

Broncos- Offense is definitely lacking w/0 J Cut.  Brandon Stokley is my new favorite player

Cincinnati- I thought Chris Henry was going to be the biggest steal in FF.  He had 1 catch for 18 yards.  

Vikings-25 Million for Favre to throw dump off passes and hand the ball to the best player in the league.  Rosenfels can't do that for 5 Mil?  Favre seemed to age 5 years in the last calendar year to me.

Browns- By far the worst team during the final six weeks of last season... Didn't look much better in week 1.

Jets- Rookie quarterback is usually a throwaway season but Sanchez looked good.  190 Rushing yards help that.  So did the D.

Texans- I guess Steve Slaton is waiting for week 2 to bust out

Jags- Held the colts to 14 but lost.  MJD looked good in his first game as a feature back who doesn't split many carries.

Colts- Reggie Wayne is gonna be a busy, busy boy.  

Lions- Matt Stafford also didn't look too bad in his debut.  

Saints- I reached a bit to get Drew Brees in both my Fantasy Leagues.  I guess this makes me the man.

Cowboys- Offense looked real nice

Tampa Bay- looked to have a great rushing attack in week 1

Rams- Ew, I don't know if they did anything well

Seahawks- 2009 NFC West Champions.  Write that down.

49ers- good game for the 9ers but I don't think they'll have staying power in the West.

Cardinals-Tim Hightower led the team in Receiving yards.  What?  Why?

Redskins- Looked pretty bad.  Made the game close by scoring a late TD when down 13.

Giants- Eli looked OK and was able to hook up w/ two of his young WR.  (Steve Smith, USC and M. Manningham, MICH)

Bears- Didn't think the Bears would have a chance if J Cut played that poorly.  They could be pretty tough when he works the jitters out.

Green Bay- I just remember seeing #38 and #36 pick off about 24 passes

Bills- Looked real nice.  Who is this Fred Jackson guy and is Marshawn even gonna play when he is eligible.  Fred looked real nice

Pats- Tom Brady is not all the way back... at least he wasn't until there were like 4 minutes left.

Chargers- D looked decent.  I thought it looked like Darren Sproles lost a step or two.  

Raiders- Did not look too bad.  Run DMC and Michael Bush is a great start for any team