Tuesday, September 22, 2009

NFL Week 3 Predictions/Nerd Predictions

In Week 2 I picked 11 winners, 10 correctly against the spread and identified 9 games against the O/U.  I actually forgot to pick the Saints game from last week but I'll just give myself credit for getting everything right.  

Okay then, here's who is going to win all the week 3 games.  All bets down, here we go.
TEAM COVERING THE SPREAD LOOKS LIKE THIS

TITANS @ Jets (-3) Over 37
The Titans' desperation carries them over the Jets, who still have a rookie QB.

Browns @ RAVENS (-13)  under 38.5
I don't know where to find information on past spreads but I bet the Browns haven't covered in 8 games, 13 points is tempting but I'd need about 17.

Giants (-7) @ BUCCS over 44
I think the Buccs desperation at 0-2 will keep the game close but the Giants will end up winning this one.

Jags @ TEXANS (-3.5) Under 46.5
Texans looked good last week.  I'm very confident they will cover this 3.5

49ERS @ Vikings (-7) over 40.5
We'll be hearing a lot about the 9ers after they beat the Vikings this week.  Actually, analysts will probably talk more about how Brett Favre is hurt (I think the 9ers are going to knock him out).

Falcons @ PATRIOTS (-4) over 44
The only reason I don't want to pick against the Patriots in consecutive weeks is because they are the Patriots.  I think this will be a very good game but the Pats will win it late.  

Redskins (-6.5) @ LIONS under 38.5 
Lions win for the first time since the mid '80's.  Browns will officially be the worst team in the NFL. 

PACKERS (-6.5) @ Rams under 41
Packers roll after losing to the Bungy's, besides St. Louis is terrible.  

BEARS (-2.5) @ Seahawks over 37
Assuming Hasselbeck is out, I like Cutler to continue to improve with the Bears.

SAINTS (-5.5) @ Bills over 51.5
I'm just going to keep taking the Saints to cover and the over until it stops working.

STEELERS (-4) @ Bengals over 37
This could be a huge statement win for the Bengals.  I do like the Steelers to win because I think they'll score a defensive TD, even without Troy P.  

BRONCOS even @ Raiders under 35.5
J. Russell made 1 good throw last week and it was enough to win the game for the Raiders.  He may need to do more than that against the broncos.  Broncos win.

DOLPHINS @ Chargers (-6) over 43
I'm close to picking the Dolphins after almost defeating the Colts but I think they'll fall just short again.  Chargers win.  

Colts @ CARDS (-2) over 47.5
Boy, the NFL sure can pick 'em.  For me, this is the most intriguing game of the week, a great AFC team against the NFC Super Bowl Representative from last season, it happens to be the Sunday night game.  It also pits two great QB's against each other, it should be a great game to watch.  I have the Cards winning this one by 3.  

Panthers @ COWBOYS (-9) under 46
I don't really care about this game.  I've seen the cowboys but not the Panthers.  I'm taking the cowboys to cover at home.

Here is who I think will win our fantasy football match ups this week.  I'd like to state that I'm assuming each team will be starting who they currently have in their starting lineups.  Also, I'm not going to analyze the kicker or Defense positions because I've already wasted enough time on this for the 3 people who will actually look at it.  

Team-an vs Diagnosis Ronalds team
I give Team-an an edge on QB... unless Hasselbeck plays, then it would go to Ronald (Jon Piening).  I also give the WR edge to Ronald because Cribbs is going to get mad Return "pointage" this week.  I also think Anquan Boldin will be involved in a shootout so he should produce a lot of points.  I also give Ron a slight RB edge.  Team-an will gain a lot at the W/R position because Fred Jackson doesn't split carries.  I think the TE position will be a wash.  

I think Team-an pulls out a close one if Hasselbeck can't go.

Velvet Merey vs. Walk the Dinosaur (what does that mean?)
A.Jay gets the QB edge because Brett Favre will be busy pulling out dingleberries to play football.  
Craig (Greg) has a WR advantage because Fitzy will be in that aforementioned shootout.  
Craig (stukenbaaak) has an edge at RB because I think the Titans will contain Thomas Jones better than the Jets Chris Johnson.
A.Jay has a TE advantage and Craig has a real nice W/R advantage.

Craig (stook) wins easily.  

Grape Smugglers vs. Scrap Iron
If you look at the projected points Grape Smugglers is supposed to get the least amount of points in the league this week while Jake is supposed to get the most points.  I'm not gonna waste my time breaking it down.

Jake wins.  

Peter North Stars vs. Who's Gonna Be 2nd
Dauber has the name edge because it's the most clever in the league.
Unfortunately Dauber has an injured QB so Travis has a sizable advantage there
I really like Daub's WR's, three pretty good picks there considering this league starts 42 WR's a week.  Interesting RB matchup because it's between four guys who don't split a lot of carries.  I think the RB numbers will be pretty even.  
I'm giving Al a slight TE lead because I think the Vikings will have to throw more because they are going to lose.  
Travis has a better W/R player in Felix Jones, who will get the all-important return yards points.  

Travis wins by 10

Tico's Club vs. NFL Guru
Tentatively giving Mitch the QB advantage.  If Tom Brady doesn't put up Tom Brady numbers (which he hasn't yet this year) This could easily go the other way.
I think the RB will be a wash.  I like Kevin Smith and Ray Rice to each get a lot more than they are projected this week.  
I like Trent to gain on the WR position.  I wouldn't be surprised to see Trent Score at least 70 points one week off Randy Moss and Andre Johnson alone.  How did you get both of those guys?
Mitch has Tony Gonzalez so he wins TE.
I like Percy Harvin this week because, like I said, the Vikings will be down and Brett Favre (before he gets injured this week) can dump off short passes to Percy and let him run for big yardage.  

I have Trent winning this one.

'96 Bulls vs Carson Chad Cedric
Danny has the QB advantage.  I think the Bengals will be in a shootout this weekend, so I like Carson to score more than 11.  
Justin will have the WR advantage this week partly because Steve Smith will need a big game if they want to beat the Cowboys.  I also don't know if Houshmandzadeh is playing this weekend.  I wonder where that little bar guy is...
I give Danny the RB advantage because I like Clinton Portis against the Lions this weekend.  
Danny also wins at TE because Drew Brees is throwing to his tight end.  
W/R position will be  a wash.

Dan is the Winner and he turns 21.  

Madison Hedgecocks vs. Ochenta Y Cinco
I give myself, Hammer, the QB advantage because Drew Brees is a hunk and Eli is also better than Jamarcus.  
I, Hamma lamma ding dong, will also take the WR advantage because of the shootout in Cincinnati.  Santonio was targeted 15 times in week 2, there were only a handful of other receivers who were targeted more.  
Andrew has the RB edge because Forte is due and Ronnie Brown should have another big week.
I have a TE advantage because it's Dallas Clark for crying out loud.  
Andrew will have a W/R edge because Jamarcus can't pass so Oak town needs big games from its running backs

I think I'll win

I hope you enjoy this.  I sure did love the 3 hours it took to write it.  

No comments:

Post a Comment

silly quips here please