Monday, September 14, 2009

NFL Week 2 prediction

Here are my week 2 predictions, playas.
Team covering spread is in Caps
I'm gonna also try to predict the O/U.  (I can't really factor in weather this early in the week)

Texans @ TITANS (-6.5) Under 40.5
The Titans D looked pretty sweet in week 1 and the Texans looked kinda terrible, I actually thought they would have looked better but... Not a good week for the Texans running game, which was non-existent in week 1, to get off the "ground."  What a shitty pun.

Patriots (-5) @ JETS Under 47
I could end up looking really stupid here but I am, so that wouldn't be all bad.  Tom Brady didn't appear to be all the way back and he'll be on the road here, so the crowd won't be so friendly.  Sanchez only has 1 game experience but his ground game produced a lot in week one so I'm taking the jets to win this.

BENGALS @ Packers (-9) under 42.5
I didn't think the Bengals looked that bad in week 1 to warrant being  a 9 point dog.  The Pack didn't look that great either, to be honest.  Packers win, but not by 9.

Vikings (-9.5) @ LIONS under 47
I was mildly impressed w/ Stafford.  I think Brett Favre is on his way to having an embarrassing year, starting w/ week 2.  Vikings win bc of AP but they're not winning by 10.

Panthers @ FALCONS (-6) over 43
The Panthers disappointed in Week 1 and Matt Ryan looked pretty tough.  I like them at home.

RAMS @ Redskins (-10) Under 37
Rams were scoreless in in Week 1.  Redskins also lost to a Giants team who also didn't look that good.  Redskins win but not by 11.

CARDINALS @ Jags (-3) over 42.5
Warner didn't really get Boldin, Fitzy and Breaston as involved as expected in week 1.  I think they remedy this against the Jags on the road, and win

RAIDERS @ Chiefs (-3) over 39
Raiders played pretty well against the Chargers (or the chargers underperformed) and I think they defeat the Chiefs on the road.  Could the raiders be a surprise in the AFC west?  They'll probably have to beat the chargers when they meet in San Diego.

SEAHAWKS @ 49ers (-1.5) over 39.5
Interesting week 2 matchup in the NFC West.  The winner will be the only undefeated team left in the Division.  I think Hasselbeck avoids the picks in week 2 and Seahawks win on the road.

Buccs @ BILLS (-4.5) under 42
I really liked the play of the Bills secondary against the Pats.  I think they shut down the Buccs and the Bills get the W.

Browns @ BRONCOS (-3) under 37.5
Free money.  Take the Broncos.

STEELERS (-3) @ Bears over 37.5
I like the steelers big in this one.  I'd find an adjusted line of like -10 to bet on.  If I was a gambling man but I'm not.  

RAVENS @ Chargers (-3.5) over 40.5
The ravens are too good defensively to not beat a team who should have lost to the Raiders.  Ravens win on the road.

Giants @ COWBOYS (-3) over 44
Didn't think the giants looked like they were ready to go back to the Super Bowl.  Cowboys win this one.  Marion the Barbarian.

COLTS (-3) @ Dolphins under 42
I picked the dolphins in week 1 and they embarrassed me.  They didn't look good at all.  The colts still have peyton Manning, right?  Yeah, I like them.  





This is why we love the NFL.  If you're interested.

Out of the 16 games I was only able to pick 10 teams to win correctly.  Picking against the spread I also rightly selected 10 teams.  Hopefully, in a few more weeks I will have these numbers at 12.  

I'd like to briefly state something I've learned from week 1 about each team.

Titans- Kenny Britt may become a steal in FF leagues

Steelers- This is the year where Santonio will begin to out produce Ketchup Ward.

Dolphins- The Falcons are good but it looks like the Dolphins will be watching the playoffs on tv like the rest of us this year.

Falcons- Matt Ryan doesn't show signs of a sophomore slump.  

Chiefs- Didn't look as terrible as I was expecting but a fumble recovery in the endzone always helps.

Ravens- Joe Flacco also doesn't believe in the sophomore slump

Eagles- Looked very impressive in a game where the spread was 1 point.  Are we going to see Mike Vick now that Donovan is hurt?

Carolina- Last year's sweet rushing attack was absent in week 1 this year.  That tends to happen when you give up 28 points in the second and need to pass for the rest of the game.

Broncos- Offense is definitely lacking w/0 J Cut.  Brandon Stokley is my new favorite player

Cincinnati- I thought Chris Henry was going to be the biggest steal in FF.  He had 1 catch for 18 yards.  

Vikings-25 Million for Favre to throw dump off passes and hand the ball to the best player in the league.  Rosenfels can't do that for 5 Mil?  Favre seemed to age 5 years in the last calendar year to me.

Browns- By far the worst team during the final six weeks of last season... Didn't look much better in week 1.

Jets- Rookie quarterback is usually a throwaway season but Sanchez looked good.  190 Rushing yards help that.  So did the D.

Texans- I guess Steve Slaton is waiting for week 2 to bust out

Jags- Held the colts to 14 but lost.  MJD looked good in his first game as a feature back who doesn't split many carries.

Colts- Reggie Wayne is gonna be a busy, busy boy.  

Lions- Matt Stafford also didn't look too bad in his debut.  

Saints- I reached a bit to get Drew Brees in both my Fantasy Leagues.  I guess this makes me the man.

Cowboys- Offense looked real nice

Tampa Bay- looked to have a great rushing attack in week 1

Rams- Ew, I don't know if they did anything well

Seahawks- 2009 NFC West Champions.  Write that down.

49ers- good game for the 9ers but I don't think they'll have staying power in the West.

Cardinals-Tim Hightower led the team in Receiving yards.  What?  Why?

Redskins- Looked pretty bad.  Made the game close by scoring a late TD when down 13.

Giants- Eli looked OK and was able to hook up w/ two of his young WR.  (Steve Smith, USC and M. Manningham, MICH)

Bears- Didn't think the Bears would have a chance if J Cut played that poorly.  They could be pretty tough when he works the jitters out.

Green Bay- I just remember seeing #38 and #36 pick off about 24 passes

Bills- Looked real nice.  Who is this Fred Jackson guy and is Marshawn even gonna play when he is eligible.  Fred looked real nice

Pats- Tom Brady is not all the way back... at least he wasn't until there were like 4 minutes left.

Chargers- D looked decent.  I thought it looked like Darren Sproles lost a step or two.  

Raiders- Did not look too bad.  Run DMC and Michael Bush is a great start for any team   










1 comment:

silly quips here please