I picked 9 teams to win correctly, I was smarter than Vegas 9 times against the spread and vs. the O/U I picked 8 games right with one push. 9/14 against the spread is pretty good, I'll take it.
Week 7
Okay, well before I start predicting games I'd like to point out that the games this week are pretty good. Actually they are really good... they are borderline great, but I don't want to overhype them. Normally, as you know, my picks are solid, money in the bank, taxes, death, my picks... that kind of deal. I wouldn't be surprised if I got about 4 correct against the spread in week 7 because these games are WEIRD.
Chargers (-5) @ CHIEFS under 44
The Chargers are coming off a loss that really ruined their season. Do they give up? Do they come out trying to redeem themselves? Last Sunday the Chiefs did something they hadn't done yet, win. The Chiefs beat the Redskins. BTW, the Chiefs were +210 straight up... thanks sportsbook.com. I like the Chiefs to ride that momentum (?) and keep it close but the Chargers have better personnel and a running back (LT) whose career is farther away from being over (LJ).
COLTS (-13.5) @ Rams over 45
I just woke up from a six year nap. "Do the Colts still have Peyton Manning?" ok. "Do the Rams still have Kurt Warner?" oh... "What about Orlando Pace?" ew... "Tori Holt is probably getting pretty old too, huh?" Oh, they don't have him either... "Who is Steven Jackson?"
P.S. Bob Sanders is back this week.
VIKINGS @ Steelers (-5) over 45
This is one of those difficult games of week 7. What Sticks out to me are the turnovers the Steelers had against the Browns last week. I'm also aware that the Steelers are (1-5) against the spread this year... the Vikings are (4-2). The Vikings have AP who is the best RB in the League but the Steelers have Mendenhall who is quickly becoming a beast of a man. I think Jared Allen and the boys will get to Big Ben more than usual (Ben gets sacked a ton) and it will have an affect on the game. I think the Vikings pull this out in a very interesting/exciting contest.
PATRIOTS (-15) vs Tampa under 45
Here is a Lemon, London. Make some lemonade. I'm glad we got this game out of the contiguous United States.
49ers @ TEXANS (-3) over 44
Week in and week out I have no idea what the Texans are gonna look like. I'm going to assume they'll have one of their good games and beat the '9ers. This will be a interesting game to watch Nate Clements to see if he can really earn that money against one of the top 5 WR's in the NFL.
Jets (-6.5) @ OAKLAND over 35
Is Mark Sanchez regressing or did he just have 1 bad game? This is a good game to see where he is at. The Jets should win but Oakland is coming off a very good win and the Jets are coming off a terrible loss. We will see how each team reacts. I like Oaktown to cover but lose a close one.
BILLS @ Panthers (-7) under 36.5
Well, this is a terrible game. These two teams have some similarities, they are both awful and they both will have a lot of free time come January. I gotta give this game to the Panthers because both teams' strength lie with their running game and the Panthers running game is better. Bills cover.
BEARS @ Bengals (-1) over 42.5
Take away week 1 and the Bears have had a pretty good season... you could say the same for the Bengals. Unfortunately, week 1 counts. How will Cedric Benson do against his former team? I'm intrigued by Johnny Knox, I think he and J Cut will expose the Bengals a bit and bring home the W.
SAINTS (-6.5) @ Miami over under 47
I've seen a few analysts/Colin Cowherd pick the Dolphins because of their ability to control the clock against the Colts and their offense. I don't buy that. Saints are 5-0 against NFL teams and 5-0 against Vegas spreads. They haven't had a close game yet. I'm taking the Saints to cover every game until they don't. Miami's cute little offense isn't gonna be enough yet.
FALCONS @ Cowboys (-4.5) over 47.5
The Falcons are coming off two quality wins and the Cowboys are getting worse every week. That is all I thought about before I decided that the Falcons will win. Then I thought, "Wade Phillips likes pizza." Then I giggled, in a manly way.
CARDINALS @ Giants (-7) over 46
This is my favorite game of the week. We will learn a lot about the Giants after getting torn apart in New Orleans. The Cardinals are 2-0 on the road and are involved in a tight race in the NFC West. I like Tim Hightower to have a big game receiving out of the backfield and the Cardinals to take it down to China Town. You also have to like the experience of the Cardinals receiving core over the Giants'. I think the Cardinals win especially if Eli's heel starts barkin' (not that I'm rooting for that).
EAGLES (-7) @ Washington under 37.5
The Eagles have a lot to prove after last week and luckily for them, they are playing the worst team in the NFL (in my humble opinion, of course). The Redskins have some good skill position players (A. Randle El, Portis and Santana Moss) but they have just been terrible.
There isn't a spread on the Browns game... I'm guessing because 12 players have the flu. Somewhere Braylon is smiling.
I'm not proofreading this
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silly quips here please